Heating oil price tomorrow

What the tool shows, and where each figure comes from

The first line gives today’s maximum price, the second tomorrow’s. When be.STAT has already published tomorrow’s tariff, that official figure appears with its change in cents. When it is missing, the tool shows an estimate, always labelled as such, with three markers: the range of changes seen on that weekday, the chance that a new tariff takes effect that day, and the average error of the estimate over four and fifty-two weeks. The “litres ordered” field turns the gap between today and tomorrow into euros on your own volume.

In this version of the page, the tariff for 1 November 2026 is known. The following day, a Monday, has no tariff yet: for it the central estimate would be €1.578, between €1.578 and €1.578. The figures come from the daily be.STAT series of the official tariff; prices excluding and including VAT are in the latest tariff view.

The last ten days of the tariff

The table shows the real rhythm of the price: it can move several days running, then the same tariff stays in place for a few days. The three columns move together, because both delivery bands and the pump price come out of the same calculation. To look further back, the heating oil price history draws the curve over a year with its highs and lows.

Why tomorrow cannot be worked out in advance

The maximum price comes from the programme contract between the Belgian State and Energia, the federation of the petroleum sector. Its technical annex, dated 9 October 2006, makes the tariff follow international product quotations. Those quotations are paid for and not published, so nobody outside the administration and the subscribers can recompute tomorrow’s official price before it is released. A site that announces an exact price for tomorrow before be.STAT is giving its own forecast.

We chose differently: we show the last known tariff as the central value, because on the series itself it is the estimator that errs least, and we publish its error. Over the last four weeks, the average gap between that figure and the real next-day tariff was 2.3 c a litre; over fifty-two weeks it was 2.0 c. The past month was therefore rougher than the yearly average. The method page sets out the calculation.

Using tomorrow’s price when you order

On a 1,500-litre delivery, every cent of movement is worth €15. Over a heating season that is small, but the gap between two neighbouring days sometimes reaches several cents. If tomorrow’s tariff is out and lower, it can be worth agreeing a delivery for the next day with the dealer; if it is higher, it may be better to confirm at today’s price. To see whether going up to 2,000 litres changes the sums, use the 2,000-litre threshold calculation.

Bear in mind that the tariff is a ceiling. As the Social Heating Fund points out, selling above the maximum price is forbidden, while selling below it is allowed and common. A dealer’s quote is therefore compared with the maximum for the delivery day, as the guide to the maximum price of heating oil explains.